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2020-03-13
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Schools and Kindergarten closed in Bavaria! http://Office365.com will encounter it’s biggest stress test ever.
it was fun having the Prime Minister say "loved ones will die before their time, but we aren't doing anything" last night
not appreciating the survivor bias implicit in the phrase > we survived the Blitz
all of Mastodon C is working from home. I cancelled my travel to London. Not quite sure when I'll get down next as they are saying the peak will be in May or June
@otfrom i'm making a notebook with the situation (https://nextjournal.com/helios/covid-19-in-italy) updated (pardon my lack of python skills) .. it's looking like it's following the exponential trend. the effect of the lockdown will not be perceived for the next couple of weeks i think.. there are still all the cases from the last few days when people were out and about and the perception of it was much smaller than it is now. I have to say the nice days of spring do not help. Here in my apartment block we have a small playground in the front and now there are a bunch of kids with parents. It's hard to make them stay inside when temperature is mild (20C now).. but everybody is slowly understanding what it means to "stay at home".
I'm worried about that too. Slightly more worry in Scotland than in England, but again, I'm not sure it is enough. The plan seems to be to try to get it over it one big push, but I worry that will overwhelm the NHS during that period and that overall deaths would be higher than trying to flatten the curve
Yeah this medium article sums it up right: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca if you see at the bottom there's a HUGE difference for every day of inaction (exponentials are hard to grasp for politicians )